American Oil and Gas Reporter - December 2016 - 42

SpecialReport: Natural Gas White Papers
However, the peak period for annual
capacity additions in the industrial sector
has only begun. In 2016 alone, 16 projects
were scheduled to enter service by yearend, expanding gas demand within the
industrial sector by 550 MMcf/d. Between
2017 and 2021, an additional 46 newbuild and capacity expansion projects are
scheduled to begin operating.
Combined, the 71 new facilities ex-

pected to begin operations between 2015
and 2021 will consume an estimated 3.7
Bcf/d of gas annually (Figure 3). These
facilities represent an estimated $121 billion capital investment.
Exports And Power Generation
Natural gas exports are expected to
grow as well, contributing to the winterover-winter demand increase. Pipeline

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42 THE AMERICAN OIL & GAS REPORTER

exports to Mexico are forecast to increase
by 800 MMcf/d, and overseas exports of
liquefied natural gas also are projected
to average an additional 800 MMcf/d
this winter.
The era of U.S. LNG exports began
in February 2016, when Cheniere Energy
shipped the first cargo from its Sabine
Pass facility in Cameron Parish, La. When
all five trains at Sabine Pass reach full
commercial operations between now and
late 2019, the facility's capacity will be
about 3 Bcf/d.
The first wave of U.S. LNG export projects includes several other facilities, including
Cameron in Louisiana, Freeport in Texas,
and Cove Point in Maryland coming on
line over the next two to three years.
While LNG exports remain a small
slice of the overall market, they will continue to grow and add incremental demand.
Total U.S. LNG export capacity should
reach 8.6 Bcf/d by 2020 and reach 15.5
Bcf/d by 2030, establishing the United
States as one of the world's largest LNG
exporters.
On the other side of the ledger, gas
demand in the electric sector is anticipated
to decline by 3.3 Bcf/d (13 percent) this
winter, somewhat offsetting growth in
other sectors. The drop in consumption
to generate electricity is attributable to
significantly less short-term fuel switching
because of higher natural gas prices expected during the winter months.
Gas demand in the electric generation
market reached record levels this past
summer, and while NGSA anticipates
temporary fuel-switching to natural gas
will continue this winter, it should be
about half the volumes that occurred
during last winter's record-setting fuel
switching, when gas prices were at modern-day lows.
Looking longer term, gas-fired generation continues to broaden its market share.
On a net basis, coal-fired generating capacity has declined 38 gigawatts over the
past several years, while combined-cycle
natural gas capacity has increased 22 gigawatts. This trend should continue, as
another 20.2 gigawatts of coal-fired capacity
is expected to retire on a net basis during
2016-17, while new-build combined-cycle
gas units add 17.8 gigawatts.
On a regional basis, the southern
United States accounts for more than



American Oil and Gas Reporter - December 2016

Table of Contents for the Digital Edition of American Oil and Gas Reporter - December 2016

Contents
American Oil and Gas Reporter - December 2016 - Cover1
American Oil and Gas Reporter - December 2016 - Cover2
American Oil and Gas Reporter - December 2016 - Contents
American Oil and Gas Reporter - December 2016 - 4
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American Oil and Gas Reporter - December 2016 - Cover3
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